Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 85976.989076 90739.326221 95502.591939 100620.974072 105962.011746 111367.668428 117248.942582
2025-11-16 78252.641183 85525.829269 93004.676367 101259.732420 110105.851498 119290.709029 129538.012224
2025-11-23 72254.107390 81185.290281 90571.278485 101150.208039 112721.054120 124971.366328 138900.620717
2025-11-30 68635.389147 78907.779488 89898.985978 102500.715001 116514.786236 131586.236060 148985.024098
2025-12-07 65435.438551 76762.586420 89074.782838 103402.684351 119566.748089 137186.033971 157790.956007
2025-12-14 62161.446893 74284.254828 87652.368389 103420.703051 121441.750615 141323.936414 164845.229261
2025-12-21 59467.979843 72285.072979 86606.433435 103708.392400 123484.302128 145541.372015 171907.196265
2025-12-28 57811.837611 71365.323314 86691.256925 105196.682304 126821.505978 151175.840558 180556.344151
2026-01-04 56105.281329 70282.155352 86495.230987 106277.380499 129623.217630 156155.188402 188437.596352
2026-01-11 54339.018933 69035.039761 86024.704924 106961.781724 131902.887007 160491.678705 195557.876991
2026-01-18 52454.951765 67559.693960 85205.986817 107162.133178 133553.407188 164053.488885 201752.396357
2026-01-25 50752.496025 66231.234137 84496.936917 107432.825093 135238.090258 167622.483626 207941.291551
2026-02-01 48977.478017 64764.985022 83583.707521 107431.225550 136588.366077 170809.491256 213721.094633
2026-02-08 47900.717218 64123.528488 83642.560973 108587.351199 139325.345774 175657.129410 221514.335702
2026-02-15 46313.473881 62781.717273 82785.660378 108570.486812 140595.952639 178719.720718 227156.368721
2026-02-22 45534.487705 62430.763486 83131.878420 110022.136239 143658.261083 183954.716313 235452.839788
2026-03-01 44573.954775 61808.728859 83105.710663 110982.205610 146096.825557 188428.424490 242839.558450
2026-03-08 43235.330303 60651.775053 82362.193836 111002.173214 147336.004042 191415.857151 248404.556640
2026-03-15 42096.318032 59717.189072 81867.731332 111307.209447 148909.742898 194804.786502 254468.761899
2026-03-22 41577.386813 59578.201058 82378.102841 112884.209110 152086.486382 200192.250805 263038.252529
2026-03-29 40900.627254 59204.277958 82564.093845 114029.158258 154709.147467 204895.914376 270780.816832
2026-04-05 40080.049103 58610.349183 82440.180679 114754.183659 156785.009113 208915.358638 277684.145799
2026-04-12 39085.543025 57751.050195 81940.962025 114966.418198 158185.371166 212077.576699 283517.245619